One doubling every seven months1.03.15.56.2AUG ’26AUG ’27AUG ’28
Prediction · First run September 2026

The Production Run

A factory proves itself with a production run, not a prototype. The same output, repeatedly, at a rate, without heroics.

By August 2028 we expect more than one in five developers on our leaderboard at the top tier, and the median one rung below it. Ten agent workstreams at once, ten agent-written PRs merging a week. Today that number is zero.

Run 01 · happening now1 to 30 September 2026

Everybody to Operator

Three agents at once, a couple of things merging every week.

The smallest tier by the numbers and the hardest by everything else, because it is the only rung where you give up something you are currently good at.

What it takes

Width
3.2 agents at once
Not ten. Often enough that it is your median, not your best afternoon.
Depth
10.4M tokens per session
Give a session a whole task instead of a question.
Output
2.1 merged agent PRs a week
Eight or nine in the month. The work has to land.
Sustain
17 active days
Most working days of the month.
Cost
≤ $315 per merged PR
Comfortably inside the $750 ceiling, which is the one axis still enforced as a hard cap.

What you get

  1. 01Run 01 badge

    Permanent on your profile and beside your name on the board. Dated, numbered, and only ever awarded once. Later runs mint their own.

  2. 02Factory tee

    Everyone who clears Operator inside the window gets one, shipped anywhere we can post to.

  3. 03One more thing

    There is a third thing for everyone who finishes. We are not saying what it is until October.

Join the run

Opt in from the desktop app and your tier shows up alongside everyone else's. Publish privately if you would rather compete without a name attached.